Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.034894 1.162351 1.301136 1.463761 1.649458 1.855299 2.101320
2026-02-01 0.797833 0.957732 1.145230 1.382377 1.675805 2.028856 2.488666
2026-02-08 0.653955 0.827464 1.043302 1.333709 1.717538 2.212058 2.904836
2026-02-15 0.557614 0.736883 0.971088 1.303015 1.767041 2.401186 3.348069
2026-02-22 0.507890 0.697524 0.956334 1.340715 1.906243 2.722231 4.015388
2026-03-01 0.460566 0.653890 0.927915 1.351909 2.004523 2.992920 4.645883
2026-03-08 0.410889 0.600201 0.877425 1.321887 2.033568 3.158552 5.132510
2026-03-15 0.369244 0.553306 0.830857 1.290414 2.053289 3.307664 5.609201
2026-03-22 0.353521 0.543771 0.839433 1.345579 2.218007 3.713203 6.589875
2026-03-29 0.335996 0.529279 0.838053 1.383147 2.356099 4.089484 7.577298
2026-04-05 0.318574 0.513017 0.831692 1.410643 2.478510 4.452133 8.597193
2026-04-12 0.298488 0.490315 0.812061 1.412050 2.552472 4.732735 9.497906
2026-04-19 0.274692 0.460228 0.778683 1.388289 2.582643 4.945856 10.326059
2026-04-26 0.247891 0.422686 0.728945 1.329131 2.537620 5.004587 10.834827
2026-05-03 0.226852 0.393557 0.691634 1.289544 2.526709 5.132512 11.527980
2026-05-10 0.209795 0.370146 0.662602 1.262789 2.538506 5.310295 12.375208
2026-05-17 0.202575 0.364207 0.665633 1.300377 2.691336 5.822673 14.159266
2026-05-24 0.192793 0.352544 0.656497 1.311689 2.787934 6.221260 15.737870
2026-05-31 0.179417 0.332846 0.629806 1.282860 2.789934 6.395215 16.746442
2026-06-07 0.167102 0.314252 0.603711 1.252501 2.784390 6.549715 17.735161
2026-06-14 0.164172 0.314063 0.614986 1.305886 2.985291 7.258645 20.522828
2026-06-21 0.159707 0.310371 0.618594 1.342229 3.149571 7.900585 23.274079
2026-06-28 0.154622 0.304971 0.618058 1.368822 3.292976 8.511249 26.089664